All Boards => Current Events => Topic started by: chuck_curtis on 04 30, 24, 09:57:02:PM



Title: Traders anticipating a hawkish FED decision
Post by: chuck_curtis on 04 30, 24, 09:57:02:PM
But it ain't over until Powell sings...
...
Traders widely anticipate that Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will deliver a much more hawkish press conference, potentially signaling a slower pace of rate cuts or even a pause in the central bank's easing cycle. This sentiment gained traction after Powell recently acknowledged that current levels of inflation would require more time to achieve the 2% target, stating, "Inflation has eased over the past year but remains elevated."

Market observers expect Powell to highlight the recent strong economic indicators, including the core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index for March and the robust Gross Domestic Product (GDP) numbers. These data points could prompt the Federal Reserve to adopt a more cautious approach toward upcoming rate cuts, diverging from earlier expectations of more aggressive easing.

The latest inflation data revealed that the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 3.5% year-over-year in March, while the core rate of inflation, excluding energy and food costs, advanced to 3.8% annually. This development could significantly alter the Federal Reserve's stance on the number and timing of rate cuts this year. Initially, the Fed had projected three quarter-point rate cuts through a series of moves, but market participants now anticipate only one or two smaller cuts, potentially occurring later in the year.

According to financial experts, the FOMC's potential shift in language regarding inflation and monetary easing bears significant implications for the markets. An acknowledgment of sustained high inflation rates could dampen hopes for imminent rate cuts, altering investment landscapes and risk assessments. If the FOMC opts to reduce the cap on Treasury balance sheet run-off, this could be interpreted as a cautious step towards tightening, albeit less aggressively than an outright rate hike.

The prospect of a more hawkish Federal Reserve, combined with the prevailing dollar strength, has exerted downward pressure on gold prices, driving futures below the critical $2,300 per ounce level. As traders await the FOMC's decision, the precious metal's trajectory will likely hinge on the central bank's assessment of inflation risks and its subsequent policy adjustments.
...
https://thegoldforecast.com/gold/2024/gold-futures-tumble-below-2300-traders-brace-feds-hawkish-pivot?mc_cid=325ad5c5c9&mc_eid=05da440039


Title: Re: Traders anticipating a hawkish FED decision
Post by: wvit1001 on 04 30, 24, 10:00:59:PM
Powell's doing a good job.   Inflation in the US is much less than the inflation rates other countries are experiencing.


Title: Re: Traders anticipating a hawkish FED decision
Post by: D2D on 04 30, 24, 10:11:48:PM
https://www.foxbusiness.com/economy/small-business-owners-reveal-out-world-impact-bottom-lines

Sure he is!

Be a good boy and have a cookie!


Title: Re: Traders anticipating a hawkish FED decision
Post by: wvit1001 on 04 30, 24, 10:13:41:PM
yes the cost of goods is rising all around the world right now. 


Title: Re: Traders anticipating a hawkish FED decision
Post by: chuck_curtis on 04 30, 24, 10:16:26:PM
He's doing all he can do, but he can't do a thing about democrat's inflationary borrowing and spending.  He has a mandate he is powerless to achieve.


Title: Re: Traders anticipating a hawkish FED decision
Post by: D2D on 05 01, 24, 12:18:12:AM
Only where leftists rule!



Title: Re: Traders anticipating a hawkish FED decision
Post by: chuck_curtis on 05 01, 24, 04:01:35:PM
Traders got it right this time.

The Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged at their highest levels in 23 years as monetary policymakers have observed “a lack of further progress” toward the central bank’s 2 percent inflation target.

Fed officials noted that the risks to accomplishing its dual mandate of maximum employment and price stability have shifted to a better balance over the past year. Still, the “economic outlook is uncertain,” and the policymaking Federal Open Market Committee is “highly attentive to inflation risks.”

For now, rate-setting Committee members do not believe “it will be appropriate to reduce the target range until it has gained greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably toward” 2 percent.
...
The Fed also announced that it would start slowing the pace of reducing its securities holdings by decreasing the monthly reduction cap on Treasurys from $60 billion to $25 billion. As for agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities, the central bank will keep the tapering at $35 billion per month.

It will start in June.
...
https://www.theepochtimes.com/business/federal-reserve-leaves-interest-rates-unchanged-as-inflation-risks-persist-5640875?utm_source=ref_share&utm_campaign=copy


Title: Re: Traders anticipating a hawkish FED decision
Post by: Dan on 05 01, 24, 06:41:14:PM
Quote
Inflation in the US is much less than the inflation rates other countries are experiencing.

False.


Title: Re: Traders anticipating a hawkish FED decision
Post by: Truman62 on 05 01, 24, 06:58:56:PM
Denial Yeti at work, please stand by for MORE denial!


Title: Re: Traders anticipating a hawkish FED decision
Post by: chuck_curtis on 05 01, 24, 07:04:42:PM
I don't live in any other country.  Thank God!  America is far and away the greatest, and it could be much greater.


Title: Re: Traders anticipating a hawkish FED decision
Post by: Truman62 on 05 01, 24, 10:20:56:PM
Fed holds interest rates as is, and the Markets go WILD!


Title: Re: Traders anticipating a hawkish FED decision
Post by: D2D on 05 02, 24, 01:21:04:AM
The quickest way to kill inflation is to produce more oil and refine more gasoline!

Both of which Democrats oppose!


Title: Re: Traders anticipating a hawkish FED decision
Post by: Dan on 05 02, 24, 12:24:12:PM
Quote
Fed holds interest rates as is, and the Markets go WILD!
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They were supposed to lower the federal funds rate, but inflation was so bad, they couldn’t do it.  In fact, they originally planned to cut the rate three times this year.  Now the Dems will be lucky if they lower the rate just once, Alaskan Denial Yeti Thing.


Title: Re: Traders anticipating a hawkish FED decision
Post by: D2D on 05 02, 24, 12:44:34:PM
Democrats never learn from their mistakes because they refuse to believe they make mistakes!


Title: Re: Traders anticipating a hawkish FED decision
Post by: D2D on 05 03, 24, 05:14:26:AM
The quickest way to kill inflation is to produce more oil and refine more gasoline!

Both of which Democrats oppose!


Title: Re: Traders anticipating a hawkish FED decision
Post by: D2D on 05 04, 24, 04:31:20:AM
Democrats are the anti-prosperity party!


Title: Re: Traders anticipating a hawkish FED decision
Post by: D2D on 05 05, 24, 03:33:23:AM
The more the FED tightens access to money, the more Beijing Biden reduces access to energy!


Title: Re: Traders anticipating a hawkish FED decision
Post by: D2D on 05 06, 24, 09:19:45:AM
Democrats want higher inflation!


Title: Re: Traders anticipating a hawkish FED decision
Post by: D2D on 05 07, 24, 07:16:13:AM
With Democrats in charge, matters will only worsen!


Title: Re: Traders anticipating a hawkish FED decision
Post by: D2D on 05 08, 24, 05:49:17:AM
The price of money will continue to skyrocket under Beijing Biden!


Title: Re: Traders anticipating a hawkish FED decision
Post by: D2D on 05 09, 24, 07:08:23:AM
Matters are only getting worse, thanks to Beijing Biden!


Title: Re: Traders anticipating a hawkish FED decision
Post by: D2D on 05 10, 24, 09:39:09:AM
Remember if you voted for Beijing Biden you voted to be poorer!


Title: Re: Traders anticipating a hawkish FED decision
Post by: D2D on 05 11, 24, 09:25:24:AM
Democrats insist only the very rich should be able to afford to borrow any money!